"Investments & markets" Posts
The revenge of the retail trader

The revenge of the retail trader

GameStop’s rally and its short squeeze are more than just market exuberance. Thanks to low-cost trading, employees working from home, and a Fed-induced market rally, retail traders are pushing the market to new highs and enjoying the excitement of the rally. Worse, social media allow them to focus on a few instruments, with wild rallies.
It is only a matter of time before this party is over, for this stock or the market. We should start thinking of the aftermath.

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SEC’s former whistleblowing chief sues the SEC for changes to the whistleblowing program

SEC’s former whistleblowing chief sues the SEC for changes to the whistleblowing program

Jordan A. Thomas, the former whistleblower program manager at the SEC, as well as a leading plaintiff attorney, is suing the SEC for changes to the program.
This article explains what the SEC whistleblowing program is, why it is so successful, and why you should consider it if you see fraud or crime.

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The Brexit deal brings no special treat to the UK’s financial sector

The Brexit deal brings no special treat to the UK’s financial sector

While economists and journalists pour into the 1,200+ pages of the Brexit treaty and its long-term impact, the financial services are already seen as the big missing part.

The UK has one of the largest financial sectors in Europe, representing 2 million jobs, 12% of the country’s GDP, and 50% of its trade surplus. As of Jan 1st, 2021, UK-based financial institutions will lose automatic access to the EU’s single market. Losing its main market will impact not only its activities but also its international attractiveness.

“The City of London finance hub secured no special treatment, leaving it on a par with arch-rival New York 3,500 miles away as the EU seeks to reduce reliance on UK financial services.”

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Fifty years of tax cuts for rich didn’t trickle down, LSE says

Fifty years of tax cuts for rich didn’t trickle down, LSE says

That will not be to everybody’s taste…
A study from the London School of Economics of 18 OECD countries over the last 50 years confirms that reducing taxes only impacts those directly touched by the tax, and has no benefit to anyone else. Tax cuts increase inequality with no impact on economic growth and unemployment.
In an environment where debt has been raising and the pandemic costs need to be financed, the study confirms that taxes can be used without impacting the economy.

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A History of Daytrading: Regulators, Congress and Robinhood

A History of Daytrading: Regulators, Congress and Robinhood

More about Robinhood… Massachusetts’ Enforcement Division filed a complaint about
– its aggressive growth tactics,
– the firm’s outages and disruptions, which were well known and ignored while pushing growth,
– its gamification,
– and insufficient supervision for option trading.

Here is an excellent, albeit a bit lengthy, analysis of the history, regulatory and general situation of Robinhood & its Day Trading business by Bill Singer of Broke and Brokers (http://www.rrbdlaw.com/).

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Previous Posts

Hammock over the emptiness

4.25% repo on 10Y and other volatility warnings

This week saw some really unusual moves, 10Y repo, intraday volatility, stock rotations, A harbinger of more volatility to come?

Old calendar

T+1 ?

Should US stocks settle T+1? The current T+2 settlement date is considered antiquated, and the Robinhood affair (gee, them again???) has relaunched the debate. Here is a review of the DTCC’s proposal, as well as an idea for derivatives traders.

#FinancialMarkets, #DTCC, #Settlement, #Derivatives, #MarketStructure
Navesink International (www.NavesinkInternational.com)

classe dissipee

Adult supervision needed in the crypto trading rooms

The SEC and the NY AG are suing CoinSeed for lack of registrations and multiple other counts. That’s a cold shower for the crypto industry. Spoiler alert: adult supervision is needed.

Psychic crystal ball

Geode hedge fund, loses big on volatility bets during COVID

Geode handles $700 bn of Fidelity’s index tracking assets. Geode Diversified, the much smaller hedge fund business, took a 36% loss on COVID’s volatility rally. It is now getting the axe.

Navesink International March 2021 Newsletter

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Skeleton with a tie

Infinity Q, the new variance swap skeleton?

Infinity Q may be the new variance swap skeleton. The New York hedge fund has just been suspended by the SEC pending valuation of its variance swaps and its full liquidation.
The fund’s main investor is handling the fund, while the founder is on administrative leave.

Railway Tracks

Should index providers have oversight?

There are complex indices behind trillions of dollars in ETFs and passive funds. Their providers do investment research. They have discretion in inclusions. They suggest indices and strategies to asset managers. Their decisions move markets. When they fail to calculate correctly, investors lose millions.

Should those ‘data providers’ become ‘investment advisors’? The SEC is considering it. Two academics explain why and how this should be implemented.

Lion mirror cat

Roaring Kitty is a Wall Street lion

The first GameStop (GME) lawsuit is out. ‘Roaring Kitty’, the redittor who started the frenzy, the modern Robin Hood who went after the hedge funds villains, the David fighting the short-selling Goliath, is actually a Wall Street lion himself.

This post explains Keith Gill’s actions, his investment and his supervisory background, and the responsibility of his employer, as they are stated in the class action lawsuit. We ask questions and ponder the long-term consequences.

Grandma ate the wolves

The billionaire matriarch of the Schottenstein family was being taken advantage by her own two grandsons. So grandma ate the wolves.

She brought her two JP Morgan bankers to FINRA and obtained the largest award since 2018 – $19 millons. The post explains the case.

Old clamp

Are the Robinhood traders going after the VIX?

‘When you combine ignorance and leverage, you get some pretty interesting results.” Warren Buffett

Three good notes from the derivatives research teams of Morgan Stanley, Société Générale, and Nomura point to a potential squeeze in the VIX, as a result of the increasing retail activism. This technical post explains the contents of the research papers. Spoiler alert, yes, the VIX is prone to a squeeze.

The high price of free trade

Free doesn’t mean without cost. Payment For Order Flow brings benefits to the public, but there are drawbacks to this new execution approach.

This article explains what Payment For Order Flow is, the role of the market-makers, as well as the benefits and the drawbacks of the approach. It highlights the difficulty that SEC will meet in smoothing out those issues.

Paul Mora Interpol

Paul Mora receives the first Interpol warrant in the Cum/Ex tax trading strategy

The first Interpol warrant has been issued in the Cum/Ex tax trading case.

Paul Mora, looked for by Germany, Denmark, and Belgium, is currently in New Zealand. Mr. Mora said that “he would skip his tax fraud trial because of New Zealand’s low Covid-19 infection rate and argued that he wouldn’t get a fair hearing in Germany.”

Sure.

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