Navesink International - November 2021

Are we ready to die for Dantzig?

Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it. Luckily, the human race learns a few things sometimes.
We certainly need those lessons to handle the current Ukrainian situation.

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Tank-cemetery-Ukraine
Turkish-Lira-falls-further

The Turkish Lira keeps on falling

The intervention orchestrated by the Turkish Central Bank to sustain the Lira has turned ineffective. The Lira fell further.
Erdogan has therefore replaced his finance minister with an even more loyal executive.

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Turkey's fall

The Turkish Lira is free falling. It has been weakening for years (from parity to 12 TRY to the dollar), but the 15% fall on Tuesday is causing a lot of pain and concerns.
It could be intentional.

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Turkeys-Fall
It-s-Risk-Free

The Rise of Money Launderers on Snapchat and Instagram

An interesting British documentary about how money mules are recruited by larger money launderers, and how easy it is to lure young people into crime for a few grands.

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Evergrande default is highly likely, S&P says

This is not good. If you wanted a trigger for a recession, this could be it.
Standard & Poor's says that Evergrande will default - it cannot sell new constructions.

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Evergrande default is highly likely, S&P says
bic_artwork_create_BTC

Leveraged up, leveraged down

Leverage has benefits on the way up, but it has drawdowns on the way down.
Exchanges need to pay the winners, so they HAVE to go after the losers.
You will get sued, and your house and savings are theirs in most cases

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Market up, vol up

We are currently in the unusual market situation called "market up, vol up", where volatilities go up while the market rallies. It is driven by retail purchases into the tiny calls, notably for the small caps and the meme stocks.

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1926-Ford-Model-T

Panel Ponzi Prison

A San Francisco couple, founders of a legitimate solar panel company, were sentenced to 15 and 30 years in prison for orchestrating a Ponzi related to equipment leases. They had 150 collectible cars and 32 houses.

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